EXCLUSIVE ANALYSIS: LOOKING FOR THE REASONS FOR THE RESULT
The recent electoral result, which put La Libertad Avanza (LLA) in power, cannot be explained solely through enthusiastic and rational support for its political platform. The post-election analysis of the main consulting and polling companies reveals a much darker and more powerful factor: the politics of fear.
Reading the data reveals that the victory was built on a base of economic terror and political aversionsurgically instrumented during the last phase of the campaign.
The “Shameful” Vote Driven by Panic
Specialist reports agree that fear worked as a more powerful voting engine than any programmatic proposal:
- The «Cuckoo of Chaos»: The message was installed that the only option to avoid the «total collapse» (the uncontrollable rise of the dollar, hyperinflation) was the triumph of Javier Milei. This narrative of «either me, or the abyss» managed to polarize vast sectors of undecided voters or disenchanted with the center.
- Taking advantage of the Crisis: The “fear campaign” coincided with and was fueled by a week of high exchange rate instability, which amplified the feeling of panic in the population. The fear that «everything would explode» became a tangible reality on the shelves and in quotes.
- Double Polarization: For the segment of voters who still have expectations in the new government, the fear of chaos was complemented by the fear of the return of Peronism/Kirchnerismcreating a scenario of double polarization where voting for LLA was seen as a lesser evil or the only escape route.
- The «Silent Vote»: This environment of tension and polarization would also explain the phenomenon of «shameful vote»those voters who, for fear of social scrutiny, did not confess in the surveys that they would vote for Milei, but finally did so in the dark room.
The Critical Alarm: When Fear Replaces Debate
The conclusion of the consultants is clear and critical: the election was a triumph for the emotional crisis management about the debate of ideas.
The fact that the decisive factor in tipping the balance has been the fear of imminent collapseand not a rational adherence to the promises of dollarization or chainsaw, launches a serious alarm about democratic health of the country.
The Criticism is Forceful: The dramatic economic situation and social fatigue were exploited to force a polarized result. The panic of losing what little remains or of reliving the recent past was a more effective mobilizing factor than the construction of a desirable future. The victory is built on the basis of citizen anguish, a strategy that, although effective, sets a worrying precedent for the quality of the debate and the political future.
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